The President of the RZA (Russian Grain Union), which is Arkady Zlochevsky, said at the press conference to reporters that severe frosts that took place at the beginning of the year, in no way, will affect the expected crop of grain. In total, it is planned that in 2012 94,000,000 tons of grain will be collected, while this figure may, under the most favorable conditions, grow up to 100,000,000 tons (since this year more fertilizers were made and more seeds were purchased).
Zlochevsky, said that the losses of winter grounds in 2012 will not exceed the expected 1,000,000 hectares, which is in turn very insignificant.
Grain export, which is scheduled for the period 2012-2013, can be compared with the indicators of the 2011-2012 period, when the season will be opened in the month of July and will close at the end of June next year.
Russia continues to actively export grain crops. Traditionally, sales markets remain Egypt, Iran, Türkiye. Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Syria, Libya will also traditionally continue imports.
It should be noted that in Russia, grain exports in February sharply decreased if compared with the indicators of previous months. The shipment decreased by as much as 13% compared to January of this year, and compared to February 2010 – by 34% .
The competitiveness of such situations is alarming. In recent months, you can observe a constant increase in prices for Russian grain. In comparison, Russian grain costs $ 273 per ton, while Australian or the same American only $ 260.
This is due to the fact that in the initial period of the season, grain was exported from the southern regions through the existing ports of the Black Sea basin. And when in the territories of nearby, the grain ended, there was a need for the purchase and transportation of grain from other regions, and this could not help pulling the prices upward.
The last time we managed to compensate such failures in the export market of the Russian wheat at the expense of Iran. Since Iran purchases very large volumes. Tried to reassure the analyst of “investkafa” and. Safonov. Given such large volumes and a high pricing policy, this of course provides great support for Russian exporters.
With great confidence, we can assume that such a situation will happen again in the upcoming agricultural season. In any case, it is expected.
As Zlochevsky said, our port infrastructure, today allows us to export more grain volumes. For example, in September of the past, 2011, a historical maximum was recorded, which is 3,800 thousand. tons.
Zlochevsky estimated the export potential of Russia of the order of 30,000,000 tons, while the lack of its use, as he believes, lies primarily in the difficulties of existing in internal transportation.
